During election years, there is always considerable discussion of a potential “October surprise” – meaning a major event that happens in the month before the election that has the potential to sway the vote. If that same term were used for markets specifically, perhaps the largest October surprise for investors has been the rapid rise […]
As you likely know by now, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.50% this week. While we have been under the impression that rates would fall for virtually all of 2024 (and have been having discussions with clients to that end for many months as a result), I certainly understand that things aren’t top […]
The biggest market event this past week was the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium last Friday, August 20th, 2024. At that meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke and provided the first definitive commentary that clearly signaled interest rate cuts are imminent. Powell made note of the consistent summer of slowing inflation (after some bumpier readings […]
This past week, Wednesday June 12th was a big news day for markets. It doesn’t happen often that a monthly inflation report (Consumer Price Index) and a Federal Reserve Rate announcement happen on the same day, but that is in fact what occurred this week. The result? Happy markets and happy investors. Let’s start with […]
Another week full of market moving news – Treasury Refunding Announcement, countless earnings releases, the end of April, and the Federal Reserve’s May rate decision (and by the time you read this, jobs data). The highlight of this busy week was Wednesday’s rate decision and the following commentary and press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell. […]
Two key inflation reports were released for March this week – the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Let’s look at these reports and then discuss a question that may be on your mind – why is the market reacting so much to these data points? The CPI for March 2024 […]
Markets – stocks and bonds alike – seem singularly focused on one factor in recent weeks – interest rates. The business news channels have the 10-year interest rate ticker in the corner of the screen, watching it near a 5% level all week (which it crossed late Thursday night). As rates continue to rise, both […]
My mom’s neighbor called me this week to ask about the “bond crisis” as he had read a headline to that effect. I have shared my concerns over the general business media in the past and this is yet another example of why I feel the headlines don’t tell the full story (and perhaps are […]
Markets were once again focused on the Federal Reserve this week as they released their September rate announcement. At that meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell stated that there would be no rate hike this month (the second such “pause” in 2023). This was a well choreographed moved and as a result, it was not a surprise […]
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke last week at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. His comments were widely anticipated and eagerly watched by market participants. His comments struck a balance between optimism and caution. On the optimistic side, he acknowledged that progress has certainly been made on inflation fight. However, he was quick to ensure […]